Simulation League In-Playoff Projections
November 9, 2018
A year and a half ago, I created a projection system for my simulation baseball league, which worked both at both the pre-season and in-season level. Unfortunately, it was not a robust enough system to handle in-playoff performance. Using similar methods, I wrote a script that can process in-playoff probabilities.
The result is that I now can compute probabilities, both for advancing out of the current playoff series, as well as advancing along every step of the playoffs:
Additionally, similar, to my week-by-week charts I posted last week, I can also produce in-playoff charts for teams winning the pennant as well as the world series:
As always, the full codebase for my simulation league research and analysis is available on github.